Which income groups had more outgoing than incoming returns?
Calendar-year filing transition 2022-2023
The $200,000-plus class had 2,057 fewer inflow than outflow returns. It was the only one of the seven published classes with a negative balance.
Matched filing-address returns are not individual people. Class and amount use year-2 income. This earlier transition differs from the dividend comparison; aggregate AGI does not identify dividend income, tax motive or a causal mechanism.
What the evidence supports
The highest published class had a negative balance
The $200,000-plus class had 10,461 inflow and 12,518 outflow returns. Inflow-group year-2 AGI was $1.185494 billion below outflow-group year-2 AGI.
Year-2 AGI is income on the final return. This is not a pre-move Washington cohort or money shown to have left the state.
Matched filing-address returns are not individual people. Class and amount use year-2 income. This earlier transition differs from the dividend comparison; aggregate AGI does not identify dividend income, tax motive or a causal mechanism.
Primary sourceSeven Washington AGI classes, assigned using year-2 income. The $200,000-plus class has a negative balance. This compares groups and does not identify a pre-move cohort or dollars shown to have left Washington.
