{
  "id": "income-newer-context",
  "question": "What does newer evidence show after 2023?",
  "hint": "Useful context, different measures",
  "answer": "Broader BEA and ACS measures provide newer context for Washington and King County. They do not determine whether the exact IRS dividend decline persisted or reversed.",
  "period": "Annual context through 2024/2025; quarterly context through 2026 Q1",
  "limit": "Different definitions and populations. BEA and ACS do not establish persistence or reversal of the exact IRS ordinary or qualified dividend series after TY2023.",
  "status": "reviewed",
  "children": [
    "income-state-context",
    "income-county-context",
    "income-household-context",
    "income-exact-persistence",
    "income-followup-purchasing-power"
  ],
  "related": [
    "income-historical-dividends"
  ],
  "findings": [],
  "plots": [
    {
      "id": "income-plot-current-context",
      "title": "Newer income context from BEA and ACS",
      "caption": "Four panels retain the reviewed measures and uncertainty. BEA state dividends use a broader definition; quarterly combined income is an annualized rate. ACS dollars use each survey year’s dollar basis, and the bars show 90% margins of error. None continues the exact IRS series.",
      "alt": "Four panels of Washington BEA annual dividends, quarterly combined dividends interest and rent, ACS combined-income estimates, and household counts. ACS estimates include 90 percent margins of error.",
      "image_url": "/research/washington-income/2026-09-21/charts/current-context-penner-strategy.svg",
      "download_url": "/research/washington-income/2026-09-21/charts/current-context-penner-strategy.svg",
      "data_url": "/research/washington-income/2026-09-21/data/current-context-series.csv",
      "record_url": "/research/washington-income/2026-09-21/nodes/income-newer-context/index.html"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "BEA annual state personal income tables",
      "url": "https://apps.bea.gov/regional/zip/SAINC.zip"
    },
    {
      "label": "BEA quarterly state personal income tables",
      "url": "https://apps.bea.gov/regional/zip/SQINC.zip"
    },
    {
      "label": "BEA county personal income by major component",
      "url": "https://apps.bea.gov/regional/zip/CAINC4.zip"
    },
    {
      "label": "ACS B19064 table data",
      "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/1YRData/acsdt1y2024-b19064.dat"
    }
  ],
  "record_url": "/research/washington-income/2026-09-21/nodes/income-newer-context/index.html",
  "as_of_date": "2026-09-21",
  "methods": "Independent verification reproduced 37 current-context values or margins of error and checked the CSV inventory and chart labels. Acceptance covers calculations, units, vintages and chart qualifications, not the entire research method or post-TY2023 IRS direction.",
  "lineage_ids": [
    "N4-current-evidence"
  ],
  "publication_state": "prepared",
  "record_json_url": "/research/washington-income/2026-09-21/nodes/income-newer-context/record.json"
}
